UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:59 PDT

stick Mercer
  
Mercer                
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 88.1040

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 H Hampton CAA ( 0- 9, 78.6) 18- 9 207 H Marist MAAC ( 6- 4, 89.3) 13- 9 214 A VMI NEC ( 4- 6, 85.1) 16-12 216 A Richmond A10 ( 9- 1, 99.9) 5-15 223 H Army PATRIOT ( 8- 3, 96.4) 7-16 228 A Drexel CAA ( 7- 4, 92.1) 7-18 307 A Marquette BE ( 6- 4, 90.6) 12-21 314 H St Johns BE ( 2- 9, 87.0) 12-11 328 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 6, 85.1) 7- 4 404 H Utah ASUN ( 7- 3, 95.3) 14-24 411 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 4- 9, 88.5) 418 A Air Force ASUN ( 3- 7, 89.4) 425 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 6- 4, 95.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   131 H Hampton                18- 9       9    11           0.00
   207 H Marist                 13- 9       4     0    +      3.61
   214 A VMI                    16-12       4     1    +      2.53
   216 A Richmond                5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   223 H Army                    7-16      -9    -7          -0.23
   228 A Drexel                  7-18     -11    -5          -1.51
   307 A Marquette              12-21      -9    -4    -     -2.97
   314 H St Johns               12-11       1     3          -1.63
   328 A Queens                  7- 4       3     1           1.55
   404 H Utah                   14-24     -10    -6          -1.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Marquette              12-21      -9    -4    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Marist                 13- 9       4     0    +      3.61
   214 A VMI                    16-12       4     1    +      2.53

Mercer Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Air Force
Albany Albany insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Albany
Army Army Army  
Bellarmine Bellarmine tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bellarmine
Binghamton Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Boston Univ Boston Univ insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston Univ
Brown Brown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Bryant tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bucknell
Canisius Mercer   Mercer
Cleveland State Mercer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mercer
Colgate Colgate   Colgate
Cornell Cornell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Delaware
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver
Detroit Mercy Mercer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mercer
Drexel Drexel Drexel  
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duke
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgetown
Hampton Mercer Mercer  
Harvard Harvard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Harvard
High Point High Point tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) High Point
Hobart Hobart tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hobart
Hofstra Hofstra insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Iona Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jacksonville
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   Johns Hopkins
Lafayette Lafayette insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lafayette
Le Moyne Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercer
Lehigh Lehigh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lehigh
LIU LIU tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) LIU
Loyola Loyola   Loyola
Manhattan Mercer   Mercer
Marist Mercer Mercer  
Marquette Marquette Marquette  
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Massachusetts
UMassLowell Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Mercyhurst Mercer Mercer   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Merrimack Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Michigan
Monmouth Monmouth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monmouth
Mt St Marys Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercer
Navy Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
NJIT Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
North Carolina North Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania   Pennsylvania
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Providence Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Queens Mercer Mercer  
Quinnipiac Mercer Mercer   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Richmond Richmond Richmond  
Robert Morris Robert Morris tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart   Sacred Heart
Siena Siena tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Siena
St Bonnies Mercer   Mercer
St Johns Mercer Mercer  
St Josephs St Josephs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Towson
UMBC UMBC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UMBC
Utah Utah Utah  
Vermont Vermont tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vermont
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Virginia
VMI Mercer Mercer  
Wagner Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Yale Yale tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Yale

PowerWise = 20


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hampton         ( 0- 9, 78.6)    18- 9      -21.30       1.00      -1.55         1.04            -1.14
   0 H Marist          ( 6- 4, 89.3)    13- 9      -10.64      10.66      -1.55         1.04            18.88
   0 A VMI             ( 4- 6, 85.1)    16-12      -14.81       6.49       1.55         1.04            16.65
   0 A Richmond        ( 9- 1, 99.9)     5-15       -0.00      21.30       1.55         1.04            -0.80
   0 H Army            ( 8- 3, 96.4)     7-16       -3.48      17.82      -1.55         1.04            -2.60
   0 A Drexel          ( 7- 4, 92.1)     7-18       -7.85      13.45       1.55         1.04            -3.27
   0 A Marquette       ( 6- 4, 90.6)    12-21       -9.31      11.98       1.55         1.04            -4.02
   0 H St Johns        ( 2- 9, 87.0)    12-11      -12.88       8.41      -1.55         1.04            14.23
   0 A Queens          ( 4- 6, 85.1)     7- 4      -14.79       6.51       1.55         1.04            16.70
   0 H Utah            ( 7- 3, 95.3)    14-24       -4.60      16.69      -1.55         1.04            -3.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        51.44

winning pts = 65.3232 losing points = -13.8830

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------